Gadjah Mada International Journal of Business – Sept.-Dec., Vol. 20, No. 3, 2018 Gadjah Mada International Journal of Business Vol. 20, No. 3 (Sept.-Dec. 2018): 259-276 Determinants of Labor Productivity in Emerging Markets: Evidence from Pre- and Post-Financial Crisis Mexico Young-Hee Kang, and Kyunga Na* Keimyung Univerity, Republic of Korea Abstract: Although the global financial crisis of 2008 had tremendous effects on global businesses, its impact on firm performance in emerging markets is unknown. To develop this knowledge, this study explores the factors that influenced labor productivity in emerging markets before and after the crisis. Using a sample of 2,061 Mexican firms that were collected by the World Bank in 2006 and 2010, this study investigates the relationships of bribery, informality, and corporate governance to labor productivity. The results show that, before the crisis, informality and foreign ownership were positively associated with labor productivity. On the other hand, after the crisis, bribery and informality are negatively related to labor productivity, while foreign ownership and external auditing make positive impacts on labor productivity. The findings imply that businesses need to improve the quality of their corporate governance and decrease bribery. Governments of emerging markets need to reduce the levels of informality. Keywords: bribery; corporate covernance; emerging markets; global financial crisis; labor productivity JEL classification: E26, F65, G34 * Corresponding author’s e-mail: kyunga@gw.kmu.ac.kr ISSN: 1141-1128 http://journal.ugm.ac.id/gamaijb 259 Kang and Na Introduction The global financial crisis of 2008 represents the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s (Neaime 2012), leading to global economic recession (Dal Bianco et al. 2017). The crisis has influenced the global economy and businesses in a variety of ways (Campello et al. 2010). For example, the US, as well as European and Asian countries, have suffered from depression for a while, which has constrained global businesses (Neaime 2012). In addition, the financial crisis is likely to increase the uncertainty of business environments, thus influencing business strategies and performance. Given that the crisis limited businesses in their activities, global businesses are now more constrained after the 2008 financial crisis than they were before the crisis (Campello et al. 2010). In particular, the global crisis greatly impacted transition economies, which have less-developed financial markets (Neaime 2012). Compared to developed economies, transition economies are more likely to have difficulties in accessing or obtaining financing (Alaimo et al. 2009). This implies that the global financial crisis of 2008 may have had more significant impacts on firm activities or performance in emerging markets. Moreover, as emerging markets are characterized by high levels of uncertainty, the 2008 financial crisis has contributed to increasing business risk. Despite the tremendous effects of the financial crisis on emerging markets, much is unknown about the effects of financial constraints on businesses in emerging markets, because previous empirical research on financial constraints has focused on data from US public companies (Compello et al. 2010). Thus, the current study explores the impacts of the global financial crisis on emerging 260 markets. Using a sample of Mexican companies, this research compares factors that influenced labor productivity in the pre- and post-financial crisis periods. Among such factors are corporate bribery, informality, and weak corporate governance; these factors are regarded as major features of emerging markets (e.g., Mitton 2002; Cuervo-Cazurra 2006; Alaimo et al. 2009; Chen et al. 2009; Baik et al. 2015). Some of the scholars that have attempted to identify the determinants of labor productivity in emerging markets pay attention to these factors (e.g., Mitton 2002; Kang and Chung 2015). In emerging markets, financial markets and institutions are less developed (Alaimo et al. 2009); corruption is relatively severe (Schneider 2005; Cuervo-Cazurra 2006; Sanchez et al. 2008: 341); and the ratio of informal sectors to the national economy is relatively high (González and Lamanna 2007; Alaimo et al. 2009; Baik et al. 2015). As the 2008 financial crisis increased uncertainty and risk, the effects of the three factors on labor productivity may differ before and after the crisis. For example, the impact of the quality of governance on firm productivity may be bigger before the crisis. As businesses had more financial constraints directly after the crisis, weak corporate governance may have provided more negative signals to potential investors or customers before the crisis. On the other hand, firms with a good governance quality may have achieved better performance by proving their trustworthiness or gaining a good reputation from the markets. There are several reasons for choosing the Mexican case to answer the study’s research question. First, Mexico has been regarded as a fast-growing market in Latin America, because it has shown low labor costs, stable foreign exchange rates, a rela- Gadjah Mada International Journal of Business – Sept.-Dec., Vol. 20, No. 3, 2018 tively high economy growth rate, and so on (Kwon et al. 2014). Second, Mexico is part of the North American economic zone, which includes the US and Canada. The global financial crisis of 2008 was triggered by a crisis in the subprime mortgage market in the US in 2007. The Mexican economy is greatly influenced by the US economy. According to Dooley and Hutchison (2009), Mexico had close economic and financial relations with the US, and the relations were stronger just after the financial crisis. Finally, Mexico has many of the important institutional features of emerging markets, such as high levels of corruption (e.g., TI2011; Kang and Chung 2015), informality (e.g., González and Lamanna2007; Alaimo et al. 2009; Kang and Chung 2015), low infrastructure (Kwon et al. 2014), and so on. This study has several implications. First, the findings of this research contribute to the literature on the effects of the global financial crisis on business productivity, by investigating the factors that influenced labor productivity after the crisis. In addition, this study contributes to the understanding of firm productivity in emerging markets by exploring the determinants of labor productivity before and after the crisis. Next, this study has useful implications for practitioners. For example, the findings suggest ideas for policy makers or governments of emerging markets to improve firm productivity. Further, this research will help businesses to develop managerial practices or business strategies by providing evidence to enhance firm performance. This paper is organized as follows. In the next section, the theoretical background of the study is discussed. This is followed by the research methodology, analysis techniques, and results. The concluding section discusses the implications of the findings from the study, and suggests directions for further research. Literature Review The Financial Crisis and Bribery Effects Bribery, called grease money, is a representative type of corruption (Lee and Weng 2013). The majority of bribery by firms is associated with government officials, since firms aim to obtain resources that are mainly controlled by the government (Luo 2005). Although bribery is common across many countries, it has been regarded as a critical feature of less developed economies or institutions (Rodriguez et al. 2005; CuervoCazurra 2006). However, the literature on corruption or bribery has provided inconsistent results on the effect of corruption on firm performance. Some studies assert that firms bribing government officials has a positive effect on firm performance (e.g., Lee and Weng 2013), while others claim that firm corruption is negatively related to firm performance (e.g., Kaufmann and Wei 1999; Wei 2000; Padgett and Morris 2005). A financial crisis makes the business environment more uncertain and constrained. In order to obtain preferential treatment, bribes are paid to bribees such as government officials. This means that bribery may be costly for companies, and may affect firm performance. As business activities are constrained by the global financial crisis, the effects of bribery on firm performance may be different from before the crisis. For instance, firm bribery may be positively related to firm performance, in that bribery may make businesses offering bribes more likely to access resources that grant competitive advantages than their non-bribing counterparts. On the 261 Kang and Na other hand, firm bribery may have negative effects on firm performance after the financial crisis. Paying bribes to officials may deteriorate organizational efficiency (Kaufman and Wei 1999), and firm bribery has negative impacts on employees’ attitudes towards their leaders or organizations (Johnson and O’Leary-Kelly 2003). This suggests that, after the financial crisis, firm bribery may have had negative effects on labor productivity in emerging markets. The Financial Crisis and Informality Effects Informality plays a critical role in emerging economies, because such economies are likely to have a large number of unregistered businesses and significant employment in the informal sectors (Schneider and Enste 2000; Alaimo et al. 2009). There are different definitions of informality among scholars (Kang and Chung 2015). In this study, informality is related to unregistered businesses that are less likely to be monitored by the regulatory authority (e.g., González and Lamanna 2007; Amin 2011); while competition with informal rivals is relevant to firm level performance (Baik et al. 2015). More precisely, informality is defined as competition with unregistered rivals (González and Lamanna 2007; Amin 2011; Kang and Chung 2015). High levels of informality mean that unregistered firms form a large part of an economy (Gonzalez and Lamanna 2007; Amin 2011). Djankov et al.’s (2005) findings imply that emerging markets tend to have larger informal economies, because regulatory burdens are positively associated with firm entry costs (Levie and Autio 2011). Firms in the informal sector can benefit from low costs because they are less concerned with paying taxes and following regulations or laws (Baik 262 et al. 2015). It is likely that companies in the formal sector that compete with unregistered rivals are more prone to suffer from such disadvantages than their counterparts. The business risk increased more after the crisis than before (Campello et al. 2010), and the business environment of transition economies has deteriorated more since the crisis than those of developed economies (Neaime 2012). This implies that having unregistered competitors should be negatively associated with organizational performance in emerging markets, where regulatory burdens are relatively high. In addition, some studies provide evidence that competition with firms in the informal sector has negative effects on firm performance (e.g., Kang and Chung 2015). The Financial Crisis and Corporate Governance Effects Some studies address the critical role of corporate governance in firm value, in emerging markets (e.g., La Porta et al. 2000; Mitton 2002). Specifically, corporate governance influenced the firm value of East Asian transition economies during the financial crisis of 1997 (Johnson et al. 2000). According to Mitton (2002), corporate governance played a critical role in firm performance in Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand during the 1997 East Asian financial crisis. In particular, Mitton (2002) focuses on the relations of disclosure quality, ownership structure, and corporate diversification among the elements that indicate corporate governance. From these, disclosure quality and ownership structure were chosen as indicators of corporate governance, because emerging markets are likely to be managed by large controlling shareholders, and to have a low disclosure quality (Chen et al. 2009). Gadjah Mada International Journal of Business – Sept.-Dec., Vol. 20, No. 3, 2018 Some studies consider an external audit as a proxy of the disclosure quality, because it implies the credibility of a firm’s financial reports (e.g., Mitton 2002; Barako et al. 2006). This study employs the external audit as an indicator of corporate governance, because it is more likely to increase the transparency of a company’s financial statements than an internal audit will. As emerging markets have relatively weak financial regulations or institutions, external audits may be more likely to increase the perceived disclosure quality, even though the actual disclosure quality is not high. Further, this research uses the rate of foreign ownership as another indicator of corporate ownership. Foreign shareholders may engage in monitoring managerial decisions, rather than obtaining corporate governance in transition economies (Chen et al. 2009). Some studies report that a large foreign shareholding may have positive effects on firm performance, by preventing top management from engaging in opportunistic behavior in emerging markets (e.g., Chen et al. 2009). Considering all things, corporate governance’s quality may have a positive relationship with firm performance in the preand post-financial crisis periods. However, this relationship may be more obvious after the crisis than before the crisis. The financial crisis made it more difficult for businesses to obtain financial resources than before the crisis, because it increased the uncertainty of the business environment. The financial crisis increased investors’ fears and shrank the financial markets, which in turn led to their economic downfall. Businesses with good corporate governance are likely to have a good reputation, which may contribute to firm performance during the crisis. Methods Data Collection Mexican samples from the World Bank Enterprise Survey (WBES) dataset were used to determine which of the factors that affect labor productivity differ before and after the 2008 financial crisis. Since the early 2000s, the World Bank has surveyed businesses in transition economies, thus providing a variety of information about business environments (financing, corruption, infrastructure, etc.) and firm performance measures.1 In terms of Mexico, the World Bank has performed three rounds of surveys, in 2002, 2006, and 2010, respectively. For the purpose of this study, data from 2006 and 2010 were used, because the 2002 data is less relevant to the global financial crisis. Sampling Sample companies were selected from the Mexican data of the WBES in two steps: 1) The businesses which have participated in the survey in 2006 or 2010 were included in the sample and; 2) observations with missing values for the current study were excluded. Using these criteria, a total of 2,061 firms were obtained. The features of the overall sample are presented in Table 1. Of the overall sample, 54.73 percent (1,128) companies have been surveyed in 2006 and 45.26 percent (933) in 2010, respectively. In terms of their industries, 54.2 percent (1,117) of the firms are in manufacturing and other, 29.94 percent (617) in service, 10.67 percent (220) in construction, and 5.19 percent (107) in wholesale & retail. 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