e-ISSN: 2722-3558 Sriwijaya Journal of Surgery [SJS] https://sriwijayasurgery. Predicting Burn Patient Mortality: A Comparative Analysis of the BOBI and R-Baux Scoring Systems Abda Arif1. Ruli Robi Ferli2*. Theodorus3 1Department of Plastic Surgery. Aesthetic and Reconstruction. Faculty of Medicine. Universitas Sriwijaya. Palembang. Indonesia 2Specialized Residency Training. Department of Surgery. Dr. Mohammad Hoesin General Hospital. Palembang. Indonesia 3Department of Pharmacology. Faculty of Medicine. Universitas Sriwijaya. Palembang. Indonesia ARTICLE ABSTRACT INFO Keywords: Burns BOBI score Mortality R-Baux score Predictive accuracy *Corresponding author: Ruli Robi Ferli E-mail address: rulirobiferli@gmail. All authors have reviewed and approved the Anal version of the manuscript. https://doi. org/10. 37275/sjs. Introduction: Burns represents a significant global health challenge, causing considerable morbidity and mortality. Accurate prognostication is crucial for optimal burn care management. This study compared the accuracy of the BOBI and R-Baux scores in predicting mortality among burn Methods: This retrospective study analyzed data from 46 burn patients treated at Dr. Mohammad Hoesin General Hospital Palembang. Patient demographics, burn characteristics, and mortality outcomes were BOBI and R-Baux scores were calculated for each patient. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and Youden Index were determined for both scores. Agreement between the scores was assessed using the Kappa statistic. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS v25. Results: The majority of patients were male . 1%) and under 50 years old . 8%). Fire burns . %) and superficial-mid dermal injuries . 6%) were most prevalent. The BOBI score demonstrated fair accuracy . ensitivity: 84. 6%, specificity: 63. PPV: NPV: 0. Youden Index: 0. The R-Baux score showed lower sensitivity . 9%) but higher specificity . 8%) (PPV: 0. NPV: 0. Youden Index: 0. The Kappa test indicated good agreement between the two scores ( = 0. 783, p = 0. Conclusion: Both BOBI and R-Baux scores can be used to predict mortality in burn patients. The BOBI score demonstrated higher sensitivity, while the R-Baux score exhibited higher The choice of scoring system may depend on the specific clinical context and the relative importance of sensitivity and specificity. Introduction mortality associated with burn injuries. Burns, inflicting severe tissue damage through Burn contact with extreme heat, chemicals, electricity, or encompassing a spectrum of causes and severities. radiation, represent a global health challenge of Thermal burns, arising from exposure to flames, scalds, or hot objects, constitute the most prevalent enduring mark on individuals and healthcare systems Chemical burns, triggered by contact with alike, with their impact reverberating across physical, corrosive substances, and electrical burns, resulting psychological, and socioeconomic domains. The World from the passage of electrical current through the Health Organization (WHO) grimly estimates that body, present unique challenges in terms of tissue burns are responsible for nearly 180,000 deaths damage and systemic effects. Radiation burns, though annually, with low- and middle-income countries less common, pose significant risks due to their (LMIC. bearing the brunt of this devastating burden. potential for deep tissue penetration and long-term This stark reality underscores the urgent need for The severity of a burn injury is concerted efforts to mitigate the suffering and These including the depth and extent of tissue damage, the patient's age and overall health status, and the modification of the original Baux score, incorporates presence of any associated injuries, such as inhalation age. TBSA burned, and the presence of inhalation The depth of a burn, classified as superficial, injury to predict mortality. The inclusion of inhalation partial-thickness, or full-thickness, dictates the extent injury, a significant predictor of mortality in burn patients, enhances the predictive capability of the R- The total body surface area (TBSA) Baux score. While both BOBI and R-Baux scores have affected by the burn provides a measure of the injury's been widely used in burn care, their comparative magnitude and serves as a critical parameter in accuracy in predicting mortality remains a subject of assessing the patient's overall risk. Age plays a pivotal ongoing investigation. Several studies have evaluated role in burn outcomes, with the very young and the the performance of these scoring systems in different elderly being particularly vulnerable to complications patient populations and clinical settings, yielding and mortality. The presence of inhalation injury, a varying results. 7-10 This research aims to compare the frequent accompaniment to burns sustained in accuracy of the BOBI and R-Baux scores in predicting enclosed spaces, significantly increases the risk of mortality among burn patients treated at a tertiary mortality due to respiratory complications. referral center. Accurate The R-Baux cornerstone of effective burn care management. Methods predicting the likely course of a burn injury, clinicians This retrospective study was conducted at Dr. can make informed decisions regarding treatment Mohammad Hoesin General Hospital Palembang, a strategies, resource allocation, and patient counseling. Prognostication enables the identification of high-risk Indonesia. The hospital's burn unit is renowned for individuals who may benefit from more aggressive providing comprehensive care to a diverse population interventions, such as early surgical intervention or of burn patients, ranging from minor burns to severe intensive care monitoring. It also helps to avoid burn injuries requiring intensive care management. unnecessary treatments in patients with less severe The study design was carefully chosen to leverage the wealth of patient data available at this esteemed minimizing potential complications. Over the years, institution, allowing for a robust analysis of burn various scoring systems have been developed to aid outcomes and prognostic factors. The study protocol clinicians in predicting mortality risk and guiding was reviewed and approved by the hospital's ethics burn care management. These systems, incorporating a combination of clinical and laboratory parameters, generate a numerical score that reflects the patient's All patient data were anonymized and overall risk of mortality. The ideal scoring system de-identified prior to analysis, safeguarding patient should be simple to use, readily applicable in diverse privacy and ensuring compliance with relevant data clinical settings, and possess high predictive accuracy. protection regulations. Palembang. Among the commonly used scoring systems are the The study population encompassed all burn BOBI (Burn Outcome and Baux Inde. score and the patients admitted to the burn unit of Dr. Mohammad revised Baux score (R-Bau. The BOBI score. Hoesin General Hospital Palembang between January developed is a simplified scoring system that utilizes 2023 and July 2024. To ensure a representative age and TBSA burned to predict mortality in burn sample, patients of all ages and burn etiologies were Its simplicity makes it readily applicable in eligible for inclusion, capturing the diversity of burn various clinical settings, particularly in resource- injuries encountered in clinical practice. This inclusive approach enhances the generalizability of the study's area under the ROC curve (AUC), a measure of the findings to a broader population of burn patients. Data scoring system's discriminatory power, was calculated were meticulously extracted from patients' medical records using a standardized data collection form, predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), ensuring consistency and minimizing the risk of bias. and Youden Index were also calculated for both scores. The data collection form was designed to capture a comprehensive range of patient characteristics, burn predictive performance. The agreement between the characteristics, and clinical outcomes, providing a BOBI and R-Baux scores in predicting mortality was holistic view of each patient's clinical course. evaluated using the Kappa statistic, a measure of Sensitivity. Demographic data collected included age, gender, inter-rater reliability. Kappa values range from 0 to 1, and any pre-existing comorbidities. These variables with 0 indicating no agreement and 1 indicating were carefully selected based on their potential to perfect agreement. Kappa values between 0. 61 and influence burn outcomes and their relevance to the 80 are considered to represent good agreement. scoring systems being evaluated. Burn characteristics Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS version documented included the cause of the burn, the total 25, a leading statistical software package. Descriptive body surface area (TBSA) burned, the depth of the burn . lassified as superficial, partial-thickness, or full-thicknes. , and the presence of inhalation injury. analyses were conducted to identify factors associated These parameters are critical in assessing burn with mortality. A p-value of less than 0. 05 was severity and predicting patient outcomes. Clinical considered statistically significant. outcomes recorded included the length of hospital stay, the occurrence of any complications . uch as Results infection, sepsis, or pneumoni. , and the ultimate Table 1 provides a detailed overview of the outcome, mortality. These outcomes provide valuable characteristics of the 46 burn patients included in this The majority of patients were male . 1%), interventions and the overall impact of burn injuries which aligns with the general trend of burn injuries on patient health. being more prevalent in males. This could be The BOBI and R-Baux scores were calculated for attributed to factors such as occupational hazards and each patient based on their age. TBSA burned, and the risk-taking behaviors that are more common in men. presence of inhalation injury. The BOBI score, known Most patients fell within the 18-50 age group . 8%), for its simplicity, is calculated as follows. BOBI score with a smaller proportion of elderly patients . bove 65 = Age (TBSA burned / . The R-Baux score, years old - 6. 5%). This distribution suggests that incorporating the critical factor of inhalation injury, is burns are a significant concern across a wide range of calculated as follows. R-Baux score = Age TBSA adult ages, though younger adults seem to be more burned . y inhalation injur. Where inhalation frequently affected in this particular study. Fire was injury is coded as 1 if present and 0 if absent. the most common cause of burns . %), followed by The primary outcome of the study was mortality, a scalds . 7%). This highlights the importance of fire critical indicator of burn severity and the effectiveness safety and prevention measures in reducing the of burn care. The accuracy of the BOBI and R-Baux scores in predicting mortality was rigorously assessed percentages of electrical and chemical burns may using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve reflect the specific demographics and occupational analysis, a powerful statistical tool for evaluating the exposures within the study population. Superficial- performance of diagnostic and prognostic tests. The mid dermal burns were the most prevalent . 6%), The followed closely by deep dermal . 3%) and full- management of inhalation injuries in burn patients. thickness burns . 3%). This distribution indicates a substantial portion of patients . 5%) had no significant proportion of patients with deeper, more reported comorbidities. However, a significant number severe burns requiring specialized care and potentially presented with conditions like diabetes mellitus longer healing times. A large proportion of patients had . 4%), hypertension . 2%), and cardiovascular TBSA burned between 21-39% . 1%), indicating a disease . 0%). These comorbidities can potentially considerable number of moderate to severe burn complicate burn treatment and recovery, highlighting This has implications for resource allocation the need for a multidisciplinary approach to burn care. and treatment strategies within the burn unit. Nearly The overall mortality rate in this study was 30. a quarter of the patients . 9%) had inhalation injury. This figure emphasizes the seriousness of burn a serious complication that can significantly increase injuries and the need for continuous improvement in the risk of mortality and respiratory problems. This burn care management to reduce mortality rates. underscores the need for prompt assessment and Table 1. Patient characteristics. Characteristic Gender Male Female Age . < 18 > 65 Cause of burn Fire Scald Electrical Chemical Depth of burn Superficial Superficial-mid dermal Deep dermal Full-thickness TBSA burned (%) < 10 Ou 60 Inhalation injury Present Absent Comorbidities None Diabetes mellitus Hypertension Cardiovascular disease Other Mortality Yes Number (%) 35 . Table 2 presents a comparative analysis of the score was significantly higher in the deceased group BOBI and R-Baux scores in relation to mortality in the . 31 A 2. compared to the survivors . 97 A 2. studied burn patients. BOBI Score: The mean BOBI indicating that higher BOBI scores are associated with increased mortality risk. This difference is statistically . compared to the survivors . 5 A 29. , with a significant . = 0. , suggesting that the BOBI score statistically significant difference . = 0. This has some predictive value in this context. Similarly, reinforces the notion that higher R-Baux scores are the median BOBI score was higher in the deceased associated with increased mortality risk. The median group . than in the survivors . , further supporting R-Baux score followed the same pattern, being higher the association between higher scores and mortality. in the deceased group . than in the survivors . The BOBI score ranged from 0-8 in the total sample. The R-Baux score had a wider range overall . , with the deceased group exhibiting a wider range . with both groups showing a considerable spread. compared to the survivors . This suggests that However, the deceased group had a higher minimum while both groups had patients with low scores, higher score . compared to the survivors . , indicating scores were more concentrated in the deceased group. that more severe cases, reflected in higher scores. R-Baux Score: The mean R-Baux score was also tended to have worse outcomes. significantly higher in the deceased group . Table 2. Comparison of BOBI and R-Baux scores by mortality. Characteristic BOBI Score Outcome Total . = . Deceased . = . Alive . = . P value Mean A SD Median Min-Max 91 A 2. 31 A 2. 97 A 2. Mean A SD Median Min-Max 9 A 37. 0 A 34. 5 A 29. R-Baux Score aMann-Whitney Test, *p < 0. bIndependent T Test, *p < 0. Figure Operating The 95% confidence interval (CI) for the AUC Characteristic (ROC) curves for both the BOBI and R- . 748 Ae 0. indicates a high level of confidence in Baux scores, providing a visual and statistical the estimated AUC value. The p-value of 0. representation of their accuracy in predicting mortality confirms that the BOBI score's ability to predict in burn patients. ROC curves illustrate the diagnostic mortality is statistically significant. R-Baux Score ability of a test by plotting the true positive rate (Figure 1. : The AUC for the R-Baux score is 0. - also considered excellent. This indicates that the R- specificit. at various threshold settings. The area Baux score performs similarly well to the BOBI score under the ROC curve (AUC) summarizes the overall in predicting mortality. The optimal cut-off point for performance of the test. An AUC of 0. 5 indicates a test the R-Baux score is 90. This means that an R-Baux with no discriminatory power . ike flipping a coi. , score of 90. 5 or higher would be most effective in while an AUC of 1. 0 represents a perfect test. BOBI predicting mortality. The 95% CI for the AUC . Score (Figure 1. : The AUC for the BOBI score is 0. is comparable to that of the BOBI score, which is considered excellent. This suggests that the indicating a similar level of confidence in the estimated BOBI score has a high accuracy in differentiating AUC value. The p-value of 0. 000 confirms that the R- between patients who will survive and those who will Baux score's ability to predict mortality is also The optimal cut-off point for the BOBI score is statistically significant. Both the BOBI and R-Baux identified as 3. This means that a BOBI score of 3. scores demonstrate excellent discriminatory power in or higher would be most effective in predicting predicting mortality, as evidenced by their high AUC Receiver values. Although the BOBI score has a slightly higher depend on factors such as ease of use and the specific AUC . compared to the R-Baux score . , the clinical context. The BOBI score, with its simpler calculation, might be more practical in resource- The choice between the two scores might BOBI Score Cutoff :3,5 AUC :0,861 limited settings. R-Baux Score Cutoff :90,5 AUC :0,857 . Figure 1. ROC Curve. BOBI Score. R-Baux Score. The optimal cut-off point for the BOBI score was 3. 5, with an AUC of 0. % CI 0. 748 Ae 0. p = 0. For the R-Baux score, the optimal cut-off point was 90. 5, with an AUC of 0. % CI 0. p = 0. Table 3 provides a detailed breakdown of the Valu. : BOBI 0. 48 - This means that 48% of the accuracy measures for both the BOBI and R-Baux patients who were predicted to die by the BOBI score scores in predicting mortality in burn patients. actually died. R-Baux 0. 59 - This means that 59% of Sensitivity: BOBI 84. 6% - This means that the BOBI the patients who were predicted to die by the R-Baux score correctly identified 84. 6% of the patients who score actually died. The R-Baux score has a higher actually died. It has a high sensitivity, indicating a low PPV, meaning it's more likely to be correct when rate of false negatives . ailing to identify those who predicting mortality. NPV (Negative Predictive Valu. R-Baux 76. 9% - The R-Baux score correctly BOBI 0. 91 - This means that 91% of the patients who 9% of the patients who died. While still were predicted to survive by the BOBI score actually good, it has a slightly lower sensitivity than the BOBI R-Baux 0. 90 - This means that 90% of the Specificity: BOBI 63. 6% - This means that the patients who were predicted to survive by the R-Baux BOBI score correctly identified 63. 6% of the patients score actually survived. Both scores have high NPVs, who actually survived. It has a moderate specificity, meaning they are very reliable in predicting survival. Youden Index: BOBI 0. 48 - This is a summary . ncorrectly identifying survivors as those who would measure of the test's performance, calculated as R-Baux 78. 8% - The R-Baux score correctly sensitivity specificity - 1. R-Baux 0. 56 - The R-Baux 8% of the patients who survived. It has a score has a higher Youden index, indicating better higher specificity than the BOBI score, indicating a overall diagnostic accuracy. lower rate of false positives. PPV (Positive Predictive Table 3. Accuracy of BOBI and R-Baux scores in predicting mortality in burn patients. Diagnostic Sensitivity Specificity PPV NPV Youden Index BOBI Score R-Baux Score Table 4 presents the agreement between the BOBI patient will live or die. A Kappa value of 0. 87 indicates and R-Baux scores in predicting mortality in burn almost perfect agreement between the two scores. This Variable refers to the scoring system being means that they largely classify patients into the same analyzed (BOBI Score and R-Baux Scor. Kappa outcome categories . urvival or deat. P value statistics measures the agreement between two raters indicates the statistical significance of the Kappa or methods. In this case, it assesses how well the BOBI A p-value of 0. 000 means that the observed and R-Baux scores agree in predicting whether a burn agreement is highly unlikely to be due to chance. Table 4. Agreement between BOBI and R-Baux scores in predicting mortality in burn patients. Variable BOBI Score R-Baux Score Kappa P value Table 5 presents a cross-tabulation of the R-Baux scores above their respective cut-offs. Total: The last and BOBI scores in predicting mortality. It shows how column and row show the total number of patients in many patients fall into different categories based on each category. The table shows a strong trend of whether their scores were above or below the optimal agreement between the two scores. Most patients . cut-off points for predicting mortality. R-Baux Score 27 = . were classified into the same outcome (Row. : This shows the classification of patients based on the R-Baux score . bove or below the cut-off of predicting death, or both below, predicting surviva. There were 6 cases where the R-Baux score was below classification of patients based on the BOBI score the cut-off . redicting surviva. , but the BOBI score . bove or below the cut-off of 3. Cells: Each cell was above . redicting deat. This indicates that the shows the number of patients who fall into a specific BOBI score might be more sensitive in identifying combination of R-Baux and BOBI score categories. For some patients at risk of mortality who might be missed example, 13 patients had both R-Baux and BOBI by the R-Baux score. BOBI Score (Column. This . ither both scores above the cut-off. Table 5. Comparison of R-Baux and BOBI scores in predicting mortality. R-Baux score BOBI score Total Above cut-off Below cut-off Above cut-off Below cut-off *Based on the data presented in Table 5, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated as follows: Sensitivity: [True Positives / (True Positives False Negative. ] = . / . = 68. 42% . Specificity: [True Negatives / (True Negatives False Positive. ] = . / . = 100. PPV: [True Positives / (True Positives False Positive. ] = . / . = 100. NPV: [True Negatives / (True Negatives False Negative. ] = . / . = 81. Discussion random guessing. In our study, both BOBI and R- Our study revealed that both BOBI and R-Baux Baux achieved AUC values close to 1, underscoring scores demonstrated excellent discriminatory power in their excellent capacity to differentiate between predicting mortality, as evidenced by their high AUC survivors and non-survivors among burn patients. 861 for BOBI and 0. 857 for R-Bau. These Sensitivity quantifies the proportion of actual positives that are correctly identified by the model. In the indicating the utility of both scoring systems in burn context of our study, it reflects the ability of a scoring patient prognostication. However, our study adds to system to accurately identify patients who will the existing literature by directly comparing the two succumb to their burn injuries. A high sensitivity is scores in a well-defined population of burn patients. crucial when the cost of missing a true positive . alse The minimal difference in AUC values suggests that negativ. is high. Specificity, on the other hand, measures the proportion of actual negatives that are A closer examination of the individual correctly identified by the model. In our study, it accuracy measures revealed subtle yet potentially represents the ability of a scoring system to correctly significant differences between the two scores. The identify patients who will survive their burn injuries. BOBI score exhibited higher sensitivity . 6%), High specificity is critical when the cost of a false indicating a lower rate of false negatives, while the R- positive is high. The BOBI score, by demonstrating Baux score displayed higher specificity . 8%), higher sensitivity, proves more effective in identifying indicating a lower rate of false positives. This disparity patients at high risk of mortality. This is of paramount in sensitivity and specificity may be attributed to the importance in clinical settings where it is crucial to not inclusion of inhalation injury in the R-Baux score miss any patient who might die due to their burn Inhalation injury, a significant predictor of mortality in burn patients, increases the R-Baux environment of emergency departments and burn score, potentially leading to higher specificity but units, the BOBI score can serve as a rapid and readily lower sensitivity. The choice between BOBI and R- applicable tool to triage patients and identify those Baux who require immediate, aggressive intervention. Its importance of sensitivity and specificity in the specific higher sensitivity ensures that patients at the highest clinical context. In settings where minimizing false risk of mortality are promptly identified and prioritized negatives is paramount, such as identifying high-risk for critical care, potentially saving lives. In situations patients for intensive care admission, the BOBI score where resources are stretched thin, the BOBI score may be preferred. Conversely, in situations where can assist in efficiently allocating limited resources, such as ICU beds, ventilators, and specialized determining the appropriateness of aggressive surgical personnel, to the patients most in need. By prioritizing intervention, the R-Baux score may be more suitable. patients with higher BOBI scores, healthcare providers The AUC is a fundamental metric for evaluating the can optimize resource utilization and potentially performance of a predictive model, particularly in improve outcomes. Conversely, the R-Baux score, with binary classification tasks like predicting mortality. its higher specificity, is more adept at ruling out represents the probability that the model will rank a patients who are unlikely to die from their burn randomly chosen positive instance higher than a This is particularly valuable in clinical randomly chosen negative one. An AUC of 1 signifies a settings where resources are limited, and it is crucial perfect model, flawlessly distinguishing between the to avoid unnecessary interventions. In primary care two classes, while an AUC of 0. 5 denotes a model with settings, where the majority of burn cases are less no discriminatory ability, essentially equivalent to severe, the R-Baux score can be used to identify fast-paced high-stakes patients who can be safely treated on an outpatient other relevant factors, is essential for optimal burn This helps to conserve hospital beds and care management. Scoring systems should be used in resources for those who genuinely require them, reducing healthcare costs and improving efficiency. judgment to make informed decisions that are tailored When considering aggressive surgical interventions, to the individual patient's needs. which carry inherent risks and complications, the R- Despite Baux score can help to identify patients who are specificity, our study found good agreement between unlikely to benefit from such procedures. This can the BOBI and R-Baux scores in predicting mortality, prevent unnecessary surgeries and their associated as indicated by the Kappa statistic ( = 0. 783, p = risks, improving patient safety and outcomes. The This finding suggests that the two scores observed difference in sensitivity and specificity largely classify patients into the same outcome between the BOBI and R-Baux scores can be primarily categories . urvival or deat. The cross-tabulation of attributed to the inclusion of inhalation injury in the the scores further supports this observation, with R-Baux score calculation. Inhalation injury is a severe most patients . out of . being classified into the complication that can substantially increase the risk same outcome category by both scores. The observed of mortality in burn patients. By incorporating agreement between the two scores can be attributed to inhalation injury into its calculation, the R-Baux score the shared variables of age and TBSA burned in their gains specificity, as it is more likely to correctly identify patients who will survive their burn injuries if they do predictors of mortality in burn patients and contribute not have inhalation injury. However, this also implies significantly to the predictive accuracy of both scoring that the R-Baux score might miss some patients who However, the inclusion of inhalation injury in will die due to inhalation injury, leading to lower the R-Baux score introduces a degree of discrepancy. The choice between BOBI and R-Baux as evidenced by the 6 cases where the R-Baux score scores, therefore, is not a matter of one being predicted survival while the BOBI score predicted universally superior to the other. Instead, it depends The Kappa statistic is a vital tool for assessing on the specific clinical context and the relative the agreement between two raters or methods when importance of sensitivity and specificity. In scenarios where minimizing false negatives is paramount, such measures the extent to which the observed agreement as identifying high-risk patients for intensive care between the two methods exceeds what would be admission or making critical treatment decisions, the expected by chance alone. A Kappa value of 1 indicates BOBI score may be preferred. Its higher sensitivity perfect agreement, while a value of 0 suggests an ensures that patients at the highest risk of mortality agreement no better than chance. In our study, the are not overlooked. In situations where minimizing Kappa statistic of 0. 783 signifies "good" agreement false positives is crucial, such as determining the between the BOBI and R-Baux scores, implying that appropriateness of aggressive surgical intervention or their classifications of patients into survival or death allocating limited resources, the R-Baux score may be categories are largely consistent. The substantial more suitable. Its higher specificity helps to avoid agreement between the two scores can be primarily unnecessary interventions and prioritize resources for attributed to the common factors they incorporate age those most likely to benefit. It is crucial to emphasize that scoring systems are merely tools to aid clinical established predictors of mortality in burn patients, judgment, not replace it. A comprehensive assessment contributes significantly to their predictive accuracy. characteristics, burn severity, comorbidities, and Advanced age is widely recognized as a significant risk TBSA These These well-established factor for mortality in burn patients. Older adults tend Our study has important implications for clinical to have decreased physiological reserve, impaired It provides evidence to support the use of both BOBI and R-Baux scores in predicting mortality comorbidities, all of which can complicate burn among burn patients. The choice between the two recovery and increase the risk of adverse outcomes. scores should be guided by the specific clinical context The extent of burn injury, as measured by TBSA burned, is directly related to mortality risk. Larger In resource-limited settings, the BOBI score, with its simpler calculation, may be more temperature, fluid balance, and immune response. However, the R-Baux score, incorporating increasing the likelihood of complications and death. the critical factor of inhalation injury, may offer greater While age and TBSA burned contribute to the accuracy in certain situations. It is crucial to agreement between the BOBI and R-Baux scores, the emphasize that scoring systems are merely tools to aid inclusion of inhalation injury in the R-Baux score clinical judgment, not replace it. A holistic assessment introduces a degree of discrepancy. Inhalation injury is a serious complication that occurs when hot gases, characteristics, burn severity, and comorbidities, is smoke, or toxic fumes are inhaled, causing damage to essential for optimal burn care management. Upon the respiratory tract. It is a strong predictor of admission, both BOBI and R-Baux scores can be mortality in burn patients, as it can lead to respiratory rapidly calculated to provide an initial assessment of failure, pneumonia, and sepsis. The R-Baux score mortality risk. This allows for immediate triage and incorporates inhalation injury as a binary variable risk stratification, ensuring that high-risk patients . resent or absen. , adding 17 points to the score if receive prompt attention and appropriate allocation of This addition can significantly impact the The scores can inform treatment decisions, final score and, consequently, the predicted outcome. such as the need for aggressive fluid resuscitation. In our study, there were 6 cases where the R-Baux For instance, a high BOBI score might BOBI management, while a high R-Baux score might prompt their BOBI scores. The good agreement between the complications due to inhalation injury. The scores can BOBI and R-Baux scores provides reassurance that facilitate communication with patients and their both scores are reliable tools for predicting mortality families about the severity of the injury and potential in burn patients. Clinicians can use either score with By providing a clear and objective measure confidence, knowing that they are likely to arrive at of mortality risk, clinicians can foster realistic similar predictions in most cases. However, the discrepancies observed in some cases highlight the resource-limited settings, where healthcare resources importance of considering inhalation injury when might be scarce, the BOBI score's simplicity and ease assessing burn severity and predicting outcomes. The of use make it a practical choice for initial risk BOBI score, due to its simplicity and ease of use, may assessment and triage. Its reliance on readily available be preferred in resource-limited settings or for quick calculation and prompt decision-making. In critical inhalation injury is suspected or confirmed, the R- care environments, where minimizing false negatives Baux score may provide a more accurate prediction of is paramount, the BOBI score's higher sensitivity mortality risk. might make it more suitable for identifying patients at However, . ge increased their R-Baux scores but did not factor into predicted death. This discrepancy likely arose because decision-making. TBSA) the highest risk of mortality. This can ensure that and comparable overall predictive accuracy. Notably, critically ill patients receive the necessary level of care the BOBI score exhibits higher sensitivity, making it and monitoring. When considering complex surgical particularly valuable in settings where minimizing interventions, the R-Baux score's higher specificity false negatives is paramount. Conversely, the R-Baux might be more valuable. By minimizing false positives, score's higher specificity proves advantageous when it can help to avoid unnecessary surgeries in patients minimizing false positives is crucial. The choice who are unlikely to benefit, reducing the risk of between the two scores should be guided by the complications and optimizing resource utilization. specific clinical context and the relative importance of While scoring systems provide valuable prognostic sensitivity and specificity. Despite these differences, information, they should not be used in isolation. the study found good agreement between the two comprehensive assessment of the patient, considering scores, indicating their consistency in classifying patients into survival or death categories. This comorbidities, and other relevant factors, is essential agreement is attributed to the shared variables of age for optimal burn care management. Factors such as and TBSA burned in their calculation. However, the age, pre-existing medical conditions, and overall inclusion of inhalation injury in the R-Baux score introduces a degree of discrepancy, highlighting the Elderly patients or those with chronic importance of considering this factor when assessing diseases might require more intensive monitoring and burn severity and predicting outcomes. The study's treatment, even if their scores are relatively low. The findings have significant implications for clinical depth and location of burns can impact the severity of practice, supporting the use of both BOBI and R-Baux the injury and the risk of complications. Burns scores in predicting mortality among burn patients. involving critical areas such as the face, hands, or The choice between the two scores should be guided perineum require specialized care, regardless of the by the specific clinical context and the relative overall TBSA. Pre-existing medical conditions, such as importance of sensitivity and specificity. It is crucial to diabetes, heart disease, or respiratory problems, can emphasize that scoring systems are merely tools to aid complicate burn recovery and increase the risk of clinical judgment, not replace it. A holistic assessment These comorbidities should be carefully considered when interpreting the scores and making characteristics, burn severity, and comorbidities, is treatment decisions. Scoring systems can also play a essential for optimal burn care management. role in quality improvement initiatives. By tracking the scores of burn patients and comparing them to outcomes, healthcare providers can identify areas References